The graph illustrates the population of India and China from 2000 to the present day, with projections up to 2050.
In 2000, China had a larger population than India, with approximately 0.250 billion compared to India’s 1 billion. However, India’s population has been increasing steadily over the years, while China’s growth rate has slowed significantly. Around 2030, the populations of both countries are projected to converge, reaching roughly 1.450 billion each.
Looking into the future, India is expected to surpass China in population by 2035, continuing to grow at a faster pace. By 2050, India’s population is projected to reach around 1.6 billion, while China’s population is expected to stabilise or even decline slightly.
This shift can be attributed to differing demographic trends, including fertility rates and ageing populations. China’s one-child policy, implemented in the past, has likely contributed to its slower growth and eventual decline. In contrast, India’s relatively younger population and higher birth rates drive its continued growth.
Overall, while China currently has the largest population, India is anticipated to take the lead by mid-century, showcasing contrasting demographic trajectories.